26th SRA-E annual conference (SRA-E Lisbon 2017)
Lisbon, Portugal, June 19-21, 2017
Sunday, June 18th
17:00 - 18:30
Social programme I
Club ISCTE
18:30 - 20:45
Social programme II (extra)
Club ISCTE
Monday, June 19th
08:30 - 09:00
Registration
Conference hall
09:00 - 09:40
Opening ceremony
Auditorium #2
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Dr. Rui Gaspar & Dr. Sílvia Luís, Organizing Committee of the 26th SRA-Europe Annual Conference/Meeting
Dr. Michael Siegrist, President - Society for Risk Analysis-Europe
Dr. Margaret M. MacDonell, President - Society for Risk Analysis
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09:40 - 10:10
Prof. Gerd Gigerenzer - Risk Literacy & Health
Auditorium #2
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Efficient and affordable health care requires both informed patients and doctors. Yet studies show that most doctors do not understand health statistics. Health organizations and industries exploit this innumeracy to make small benefits of treatments or screenings appear big and their harms appear small. I will talk about techniques for helping doctors and patients make sense of medical evidence. Promoting risk literacy in health could save more lives than expensive screening programs and Big Data.
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10:10 - 10:30
Keynote 1 Q&A
Auditorium #2
10:30 - 11:00
Coffee break
11:00 - 12:30
Session: Symposium - European perceptions of climate change (EPCC)
Monday, June 19th - Auditorium #2
Chair: Nick Pidgeon
11:00
EUROPEAN PERCEPTIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (EPCC)
Nick Pidgeon
Cardiff University, CF10 3AT, Cardiff, United Kingdom
11:05
Between scientific ‘facts’ and ‘debates’: How perceived scientific consensus predicts beliefs about anthropogenic climate in four EU countries
Raquel Bertoldo 2, Claire Mays 1, Marc Poumadère 1
1 Institut Symlog, 75005, Paris, France, 2 Aix Marseille Univ, UMR ESPACE, CNRS, 13545, Aix-en-Provence, France
11:20
The role of social norms in shaping individual and national responses to climate change: A comparison across four European countries
Katharine Steentjes 1, Nick Pidgeon 1, Wouter Poortinga 1, Gisela Böhm 2, Raquel Bertoldo 3
1 Cardiff University, CF10 3AT, Cardiff, United Kingdom, 2 University of Bergen, 5020, Bergen, Norway, 3 Insitut SYMLOG, 75005, Paris, France
11:35
Storms, ice and conspiracies: Explaining what people in four European countries associate with climate change
Endre Tvinnereim 1, Claire Mays 3, Annika Arnold 2, Katharine Steentjes 4, Wouter Poortinga 4
1 Uni Research Rokkan Centre, Bergen, Norway, 5020, Bergen, Norway, 2 University of Stuttgart, 70049, Stuttgart, Germany, 3 Symlog, 75005, Paris, France, 4 Cardiff University, CF10 3AT, Cardiff, United Kingdom
11:50
Which emotions do people feel in response to climate change? A comparison across four European countries
Gisela Böhm 1, Rouven Doran 1, Claire Mays 2, Katharine Steentjes 3, Endre Tvinnereim 4, Hans-Rüdiger Pfister 5
1 University of Bergen, 5015, Bergen, Norway, 2 SYMLOG, 75005, Paris, France, 3 Cardiff University, CF10 3AT, Cardiff, United Kingdom, 4 Uni Research Rokkan Center, 5015, Bergen, Norway, 5 Leuphana University Lüneburg, 21335, Lüneburg, Germany
12:05
Between high risk and high climate reward: European percpetions of nuclear energy.
Annika Arnold, Marco Sonnberger, Michael Ruddat, Dirk Scheer
University of Stuttgart - Center for Interdisciplinary Risk and Innovation Studies (ZIRIUS), 70174, Stuttgart, Germany
11:00 - 12:30
Session: Symposium - Addressing Challenges and Opportunities for Vaccination Uptake (Part 1)
Monday, June 19th - Auditorium #3
Chair: Josh Greenberg
11:00
Addressing Challenges and Opportunities for Vaccination Uptake (Part 1)
Josh Greenberg
School of Journalism and Communication Carleton University Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, K1S 5B6, Ottawa, Canada
11:05
Measles, Mickey and the Media - Disneyland, Vaccination and the Social Construction of Risk
Josh Greenberg
School of Journalism and Communication Carleton University Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, K1S 5B6, Ottawa, Canada
11:20
Risk perception, trust and vaccination decisions
Eve Dubé
Université Laval - Centre de recherche du CHU de Québec, G1E 7G9, Quebec, Canada
11:35
Effects of Policies and Practices on Immigrant and Refugee Immunization Access and Uptake
Cindy Jardine 1, Stephanie Kowal 2, S. Michelle Driedger 3
1 University of the Fraser Valley, V2R 0N3, Chilliwack, Canada, 2 University of Alberta, T6G 1C9, Edmonton, Canada, 3 University of Manitoba, R3E 0W3, Winnipeg, Canada
11:50
Risk communication of Vaccines in the 21st century: where are we?
Frederic Bouder
Maastricht University, 6211SZ, Maastricht, Netherlands
11:00 - 12:30
Session: Symposium - The Geography of Litter
Monday, June 19th - Room #1
Chair: Randa Kachef
11:00
The Geography of Litter: Investigating chewing gum to understand the behavioural and spatial triggers that drive litter culture
Randa Kachef 1, Ullrika Sahlin 2
1 King's College London, SE229PJ, London, United Kingdom, 2 Lund University, 22362, Lund, Sweden
11:05
The Chewing Gum Effect – A spatial approach to understanding litter
Randa Kachef 1, Narushige Shiode 1, Ullrika Sahlin 2
1 King's College London, WC2R2LS, London, United Kingdom, 2 Lund University, 22362, Lund, Sweden
11:20
Litter bit of this, a litter bit of that - optimal chewy cleaning strategies to reduce litter
Ullrika Sahlin 1, Randa Kachef 2, Peter Olsson 1
1 Lund University, 223 62, Lund, Sweden, 2 King's College London, WC2R 2LS, London, United Kingdom
11:35
Challenges in assessing metal exposure around contaminated sites – the example of local vegetable consumption in the Swedish glassworks district
Anna Augustsson, Terese Uddh-Söderberg, Stina Alriksson, Monika Filipsson
Linnaeus University, Department of Biology and Environmental Sciences, Kalmar, Sweden, 39182, Kalmar, Sweden
11:00 - 12:30
Session: Symposium - Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Systemic Risk Research
Monday, June 19th - Room #2
Chair: Pia-Johanna Schweizer
11:00
Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Systemic Risk Research
Pia-Johanna Schweizer
Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies Potsdam, 14467, Potsdam, Germany
11:05
Governance of systemic risks: Challenges for decision and policy making
Pia-Johanna Schweizer
Institute of Advanced Sustainability Studies Potsdam, 14467, Potsdam, Germany
11:20
Managing Systemic Risks of Wind Energy: A Comparative Case Study in Energy Transitions.
Bonnie Ram
University of Delaware, 19716, Newark, United States
11:35
Assessing influence of smart technologies onto the resilience of critical infrastructures
Amrita Choudhary 1, Aleksandar Jovanovic 1, 2
1 European Virtual Institute for Integrated Risk Management, 70174, Stuttgart, Germany, 2 Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies, 70174, Stuttgart, Germany
11:00 - 12:30
Session: Symposium - Analysis and Resilient Governance of Interconnected Risks
Monday, June 19th - Foyer
Chair: Hideaki Shiroyama
11:00
Analysis and Resilient Governance of Interconnected Risks
Hideaki Shiroyama
the University of Tokyo, 113-0033, Tokyo, Japan
11:05
Resilient Governance of Interconnected Risks
Hideaki Shiroyama
the University of Tokyo, 113-0033, Tokyo, Japan
11:20
Climate Change and the Resilience Framework in Singapore
Yee-Kuang Heng
University of Tokyo, 113-0033, Tokyo, Japan
11:35
Risk Governance Deficits and Their Long-term consequences: The Case of the Fukushima Nuclear Accident
Taketoshi Taniguchi
The University of Tokyo, 113-0033, Tokyo, Japan
12:05
Resilient governance of the risks coming from the interconnectedness of space and cyberspace
Yuichiro Nagai, Hideaki Shiroyama
The University of Tokyo, 113-0033, Tokyo, Japan
12:30 - 13:15
Lunch
13:15 - 13:45
SRA-E General Assembly meeting
Auditorium #2
13:45 - 15:15
Session: Symposium - Public perceptions of climate change and its impacts
Monday, June 19th - Auditorium #2
Chair: Andrea Taylor
13:45
Public perceptions of climate change and its impacts
Andrea Taylor
University of Leeds, LS2 9JT, Leeds, United Kingdom
13:50
Public priorities and expectations of climate change impacts in the United Kingdom
Andrea Taylor, Suraje Dessai, Wandi Bruine de Bruin
University of Leeds, LS2 9JT, Leeds, United Kingdom
14:05
Perceptions of climate change and its impacts among children and young people: results from a project based on participatory methodologies
Ana Delicado, Jussara Rowland, Sofia Ribeiro, Luísa Schmidt
Instituto de Ciências Sociais da Universidade de Lisboa, 1600-189, Lisbon, Portugal
14:20
Understanding how non-experts talk about climate change impacts, risks and adaptation.
Rachel Harcourt 1, 2, Wandi Bruine de Bruin 2, 3, Suraje Dessai 1, Andrea Taylor 1, 2
1 Sustainability Research Institute, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, LS2 9JT, Leeds, United Kingdom, 2 Centre for Decision Research, Leeds University Business School, University of Leeds, LS2 9JT, Leeds, United Kingdom, 3 Carnegie Mellon University, Department of Engineering and Public Policy, 15213, Pittsburgh, United States
14:35
Failure to discriminate how long air pollution and carbon dioxide remain in the atmosphere
Rachel Dryden 1, M. Granger Morgan 1, Ann Bostrom 2, Wändi Bruine de Bruin 1, 3
1 Carnegie Mellon University, 15213, Pittsburgh, United States, 2 University of Washington, 98195, Seattle, United States, 3 University of Leeds, LS6 1AN, Leeds, United Kingdom
14:50
Perceptions of climate change: consultation process with stakeholders on local communities adaptation strategies to climate change
Luísa Schmidt 1, Adriana Alves 1, Susana Valente 2
1 Institute of Social Sciences, University of Lisbon, 1600-189, Lisbon, Portugal, 2 Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, 1749-016, Lisbon, Portugal
13:45 - 15:15
Session: Symposium - Addressing Challenges and Opportunities for Vaccination Uptake (Part 2)
Monday, June 19th - Auditorium #3
Chair: Josh Greenberg
13:45
Addressing Challenges and Opportunities for Vaccination Uptake (Part 2)
Josh Greenberg
School of Journalism and Communication Carleton University Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, K1S 5B6, Ottawa, Canada
13:50
Health experiences and risk communication needs for immunization of Syrian parents with young children in the Netherlands
Karlien Strijbosch, Frederic Bouder
Maastricht University, 6211 SZ, Maastricht, Netherlands
14:05
Educating parents about the vaccination status of their children: A user-centered mobile application
Lea Seeber 1, 3, Patrick Obermeier 1, 3, Xi Chen 1, 3, Katharina Karsch 1, 3, Susann Muehlhans 1, 3, Franziska Tief 1, 3, Barbara Rath 1, 2
1 Vienna Vaccine Safety Initiative, 10437, Berlin, Germany, 2 The University of Nottingham School of Medicine, NG5 1PB, Nottingham, United States, 3 Charite University Medical Center, 13353, Berlin, Germany
14:20
Developing and evaluating public health messages to address vaccine hesitancy
S. Michelle Driedger 1, Dube Eve 2, Greenberg Joshua 3, Jardine Cindy 4, Maier Ryan 1, Kim Corace 5, Jordan Tustin 6
1 University of Manitoba, R3E 0W3, Winnipeg, Canada, 2 Institut national de sante publique du Quebec, G1E 7G9, Quebec City, Canada, 3 Carleton University, K1S 5B6, Ottawa, Canada, 4 University of Fraser Valley, V2S 7M7, Abbottsford, Canada, 5 Royal Ottawa Foundation for Mental Health, K1Z 7K4, Ottawa, Canada, 6 Ryerson University, M5B 2K3, Toronto, Canada
13:45 - 15:15
Session: Symposium - Food Safety & Sanitary Risk
Monday, June 19th - Room #1
Chair: Elke Stedefeldt
13:45
Food Safety & Sanitary Risk
Elke Stedefeldt 1, Laís Mariano Zanin 2, Rayane Stephanie Gomes de Freitas 3
1 Centro de Desenvolvimento do Ensino Superior em Saúde, Universidade Federal de São Paulo, 04039-032, São Paulo, Brazil, 2 Universidade Federal de São Paulo, 040390-032, São Paulo, Brazil, 3 Universidade Federal de São Paulo, campus Baixada Santista, 11015-020, São Paulo, Brazil
13:50
Risk analysis in Mass Gathering Events
Elke Stedefeldt 1, Laís Mariano Zanin 2, Diogo Thimoteo Da Cunha 3, Ana Lúcia de Freitas Saccol 4, Denise de Oliveira Resende 5
1 Centro de Desenvolvimento do Ensino Superior em Saúde, Universidade Federal de São Paulo, 04039-032, São Paulo, Brazil, 2 Universidade Federal de São Paulo, 04039-032, São Paulo, Brazil, 3 Faculdade de Ciências Aplicadas, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, 13484350, Campinas, Brazil, 4 Centro Universitário Franciscano, 97010-032, Santa Maria, Brazil, 5 Sindicato das Indústrias da Alimentação no Estado de Goiás, 74645-230, Goiânia, Brazil
14:05
Ethnographic notes about risk perception of food handlers from the perspective of Bourdieu's social theory
Rayane Stephanie Gomes de Freitas 1, Diogo Thimoteo da Cunha 2, Elke Stedefeldt 3
1 Universidade Federal de São Paulo, Campus Baixada Santista, 11015-020, Santos, Brazil, 2 Faculdade de Ciências Aplicadas, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, 13484-350, Campinas, Brazil, 3 Centro de Desenvolvimento do Ensino Superior em Saúde, Universidade Federal de São Paulo, 04039-032, São Paulo, Brazil
14:20
Risk Perception in military institutions from the perspective of food safety culture
Laís Mariano Zanin 1, Diogo Thimoteo da Cunha 2, Fernanda Peixoto 3, Rayane Stephanie Gomes de Freitas 4, Elke Stedefeldt 5
1 Universidade Federal de São Paulo, 04039-032, São Paulo, Brazil, 2 Faculdade de Ciências Aplicadas, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, 13484-350, Campinas, Brazil, 3 Ministério da Defesa, 70049-900, Brasília, Brazil, 4 Universidade Federal de São Paulo, Campus Baixada Santista, 11015-020, Santos, Brazil, 5 Centro de Desenvolvimento do Ensino Superior em Saúde, Universidade Federal de São Paulo, 04039-032, São Paulo, Brazil
13:45 - 15:15
Session: Symposium - Applying risk governance to new technologies and systemic risks
Monday, June 19th - Room #2
Chair: Marie-Valentine Florin
13:45
Applying risk governance to new technologies and systemic risks
Marie-Valentine Florin
International Risk Governance Center (IRGC), 1015, Lausanne, Switzerland
13:50
Applying risk governance thinking to precision medicine
Marie-Valentine Florin, Gerard Escher
IRGC (International Risk Governance Center), EPFL (Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne), 1015, Lausanne, Switzerland
14:05
Distributed ledger technologies – A risk governance approach
Marie-Valentine Florin, Marcel Bürkler
EPFL International Risk Governance Center, 1015, Lausanne, Switzerland
14:20
Resilience strategies to deal with systemic risks
Sandra Pfeiffer 2, Marie-Valentine Florin 1
1 IRGC (International Risk Governance Center), EPFL (Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne), 1015, Lausanne, Switzerland, 2 IRGC (International Risk Governance Council), 1015, Lausanne, Switzerland
13:45 - 15:15
Session: Symposium - Collaboration during crisis work in maritime contexts
Monday, June 19th - Foyer
Chair: Eric Carlström
13:45
Collaboration during crisis work in maritime contexts
Eric Carlström, Jarle Löve-Sörensen, Elsa Kristiansen, Leif-Inge Magnussen
Centre for Emergencies Integrated Crisis Management Unniversity Collage Southeast-Norway, 3199, Borre, Norway
13:50
Collaboration during crisis work in maritime contexts
Eric Carlstrom, Jarle L Sorensen, Elsa Kristiansen, Leif Inge Magnussen
Center for emergency and integrated crisis management University College of Southeast-Norway, 3199, Borre, Norway
14:05
Perceived collaboration during maritime rescue operations
Elsa Kristiansen 1, Jarle L. Sørensen 1, Eric Carlstrom 2, 1, Leif I. Magnussen 1
1 Center for emergency and integrated crisis management, University College of Southeast- Norway, 3199, Borre, Norway, 2 University of Gothenburg, 40530, Gothenburg, Sweden
14:20
Learning from Excercises - Collaboration Excercises as a Grand Theater?
Leif Inge Magnussen, Eric Carlstrøm, Jarle Løwe Sørensen, Elsa Kristiansen
University College of South East Norway Center of Emergency and integrated crisis management, 3603, Kongsberg, Norway
15:15 - 15:45
Coffee break
15:45 - 17:15
Session: Risk and uncertainty communication I
Monday, June 19th - Auditorium #2
Chair: Michael Siegrist
15:45
Food risk perceptions and mitigation strategies of consumers’ living in Northeast Italy: Challenges for risk communication
Barbara Tiozzo 1, Silvia Mari 2, Mirko Ruzza 1, Stefania Crovato 1, Licia Ravarotto 1
1 Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale delle Venezie - Health Awareness and Communication Department, 35020, Legnaro, Italy, 2 University of Milano - Bicocca, Department of Psychology, 20126, Milano, Italy
16:00
Food Risk Prioritization: A comparative study by experts and laypeople
Michael Siegrist 1, Philipp Hübner 2, Christina Hartmann 1
1 ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, 8092, Zurich, Switzerland, 2 Gesundheitsdepartement Basel-Stadt Kantonales Laboratorium, Basel, Switzerland, 4012, Basel, Switzerland
16:15
Sub-surface energy resources and low-probability high-consequence environmental risks: implications for risk communication and technology acceptance
Theresa A.K. Knoblauch, Michael Stauffacher, Evelina Trutnevyte
D-USYS TdLab ETH Zürich, 8092, Zürich, Switzerland
16:30
“Stay away from the smoke”:  effects of alternative public  messages in case of large fires
Liesbeth Claassen 1, 2, Frans Greven 3, Fred Woudenberg 4, Frans Duim 3, Danielle Timmermans 1, 2
1 Department of Public and Occupational Health, Amsterdam Public Health research institute, VU University Medical Center, 1091 BT, Amsterdam, Netherlands, 2 National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, 3720 BA, Bilthoven, Netherlands, 3 Municipal Health Service, Groningen, 9713 GW, Groningen, Netherlands, 4 Municipal Health Service, Amsterdam, 1000 CE, Amsterdam, Netherlands
16:45
Interdisciplinarity and specialization: A reflexive study of scholarly communication in risk studies.
Frederic Vandermoere 1, Raf Vanderstraeten 2, Maarten Hermans 3
1 University of Antwerp, 2000, Antwerpen, Belgium, 2 Ghent University, 9000, Gent, Belgium, 3 University of Leuven, 3000, Leuven, Belgium
15:45 - 17:15
Session: Evidence-based risk governance, policy and regulation I
Monday, June 19th - Auditorium #3
Chair: Ric van Poll
15:45
Strengthening the resilience of the Canadian water sector
Calvin Burns 1, Kevin Quigley 2
1 University of Strathclyde, G4 8QU, Glasgow, United Kingdom, 2 Dalhousie University, B3H 4R2, Halifax, Canada
16:00
Survey methodology and the science of risk: Limitations and future directions
Robin Cantor
Berkeley Research Group LLC, 20036, Washington, DC, United States
16:15
The ‘Black Hole’ of Risk Management: A Novel Perspective to Understand ‘Risk Appetite’
Nathan Zhang
Senior Lecturer in Risk Management Oxford School of Hospitality Management Oxford Brookes University, OX3 8LB, Oxford, United Kingdom
16:30
The case for differential toxicity of pm2.5 and its implications for air quality regulation:  What can Americans lean from Europe
David Good, Kerry Krutilla, Kathryn Fledderman
Indiana University School of Public and Environmental Affairs, 47405, Bloomington, United States
16:45
Evidence-based policy advise? The case of PFOA.
Ric van Poll, Riny Janssen, Eugene Jansen
National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, the Netherlands (RIVM), 3720 BA, Bilthoven, Netherlands
15:45 - 17:15
Session: Multi-actor approaches in risk analysis, management and governance I
Monday, June 19th - Room #1
Chair: Anna Olofsson
15:45
Swedish Policy for the Arctic: A Feminist Risk Analysis
Anna Olofsson, Katarina Giritli Nygren, Susanna Öhman
Mid Sweden University, 83125, Östersund, Sweden
16:00
Building a trinational Graduate Academy for risk management
Ulrich Ufer, Ralf Schulz
Universität Koblenz-Landau, D-76829, Landau, Germany
16:15
Overview of the Canadian Food Inspection Agency Establishment-based Risk Assessment model: principles and algorithm
Manon Racicot 1, Alexandre Leroux 7, Tom Gill 5, Sylvain Charlebois 5, Romina Zanabria 8, Sylvain Quessy 2, Julie Arsenault 2, Greg Paoli 6, Ann Letellier 2, Mansel Griffiths 3, Rick Holley 4
1 Canadian Food Inspection Agency, J2S 7C6, St-Hyacinthe, Canada, 2 Faculté de médecine vétérinaire, Université de Montréal, J2S 7C6, St-Hyacinthe, Canada, 3 University of Guelph, N1G 2W1, Guelph, Canada, 4 University of Manitoba, R3T 2N2, Winnipeg, Canada, 5 Dalhousie University, B3H 4R2, Halifax, Canada, 6 Risk Sciences International, K1P 6L5, Ottawa, Canada, 7 Canadian Food Inspection Agency, K1A 0Y9, Ottawa, Canada, 8 Canadian Food Inspection Agency, N1G 4S9, Guelph, Canada, 9 Canadian Food Inspection Agency, H3A 3N2, Montreal, Canada
16:30
Pragmatic experiments to develop a risk culture in São Paulo
Jacques Lolive 1, Cintia Okamura 2
1 CNRS – National Center for Scientific Research of France, 38100, Grenoble, France, 2 CETESB - Environmental Agency of the State of São Paulo, CEP: 05459-900, São Paulo, Brazil
16:45
Population Migration and Infrastructure Resilience: A Review of Theory and Practice
Krista Rand, Cody Fleming, PhD, Jim Lambert, PhD
University of Virginia, 22902, Charlottesville, United States
15:45 - 17:15
Session: Evidence-based risk governance, policy and regulation II
Monday, June 19th - Room #2
Chair: Estela Gonçalves Pereira
15:45
How corporate governance and expectations impact on the probability of default: comparative analysis of industries in Russia
Alexey Rybalka
Center for macroeconomic analysis and short-trem forecasting (CMASF), 117186, Moscow, Russia, National Research University Higher School of Economics (NRU HSE), 101000, Moscow, Russia
16:00
Applying CIREN data: An Investigation of Determinant Factors in Severe Road Traffic Accidents
Darren Shannon
University of Limerick, 0000, Limerick, Ireland
16:15
On transitioning to circular economy via environmental management systems and certification of organizations in risk and resilience
Estela Gonçalves Pereira 1, Desheng Wu 2, James H. Lambert 3
1 Independent Consultant, Estoril, Cascais, Portugal, 2 University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing and University of Stockholm, Sweden, Beijing, Beijing, China, 3 University of Virginia, Virginia, Virginia, United States
16:30
A Methodology for Dynamic Security Risk Quantification and Optimal Resource Allocation of Security Assets
Robert Brigantic, Nicholas Betzsold, Craig Bakker, Javier Rubio Herrero, Casey Perkins, Angela Waterworth
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, 99352, Richland, United States
15:45 - 17:15
Session: Evidence-based risk governance, policy and regulation III
Monday, June 19th - Foyer
Chair: Jamie Wardman
15:45
Gauging fear in the social-network era
Leonor Betterncourt 1, Frederico Francisco 2, Joana Gonçalves-Sá 2
1 Centro de Investigação e Intervenção Social (CIS-IUL), 1649-026, Lisboa, Portugal, 2 Instituto Gulbenkian de Ciência, 2780-156, Oeiras, Portugal
16:00
Early Detection of the Flu Season
Miguel Won, Joana Gonçalves-Sá
Instituto Gulbenkian de Ciência, 2780-156, Oeiras, Portugal
16:15
Politicizing public opinion: the role of party identification for public opinion about nuclear energy
Tanja Perko 1, 2, Peter Thijssen 1, Edwin Latré 1, 2
1 Belgian Nuclear Research Centre, 2400, Mol, Belgium, 2 University of Antwerp, 2000, Antwerp, Belgium
16:30
Anticipating or Accommodating to Public Concern? Risk Amplification and the Politics of Precaution Re-examined
Jamie Wardman 1, Ragnar Lofstedt 2
1 University of Nottingham, NG8 1BB, Nottingham, United Kingdom, 2 King's College London, WC2R 2LS, London, United Kingdom
16:45
Risk assessment, safety and Brexit
Laurence Ball-King
King's College London, E148NT, London, United Kingdom
17:15 - 18:30
Specialty groups mixers & drinks
Hall (Rooms 1-2)
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Sponsored by the Risk Communication Specialty Group (RCSG), Society for Risk Analysis
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17:15 - 18:30
Session: Standard poster session (SPS)
Monday, June 19th - Hall (Rooms 1-2)
Chair: Paulo Fernandes
Public attitudes regarding energy demand in the UK: Effect of public perceptions on public actions
George Warren
King's Centre for Risk Management King's College London, WC2R 2LS, London, United Kingdom
Acute hemodynamic changes from exposure to Ractopamine in rat models of cardiovascular disease
Tsun-Jen Cheng 1, Pei-Jing Tsai 1, Jiun-Jr Wang 2, Hui-I Hsieh 3
1 College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, 111, Taipei, Taiwan, 2 School of Medicine, Fu Jen University, 242, New Taipei City, Taiwan, 3 Department of Family Medicine, Cathay Hospital, 106, Taipei, Taiwan
Nuclear Information in Cyber Space: What Brings out Polarized Attitude toward Nuclear Power in the Cyber Space?
Joo Hwang, Seoyong Kim, Sang-Seok Bae
Ajou University, 16499, Suwon, Korea, Republic of (South)
 Effects of affect, procedural fairness and trust on public acceptance of siting a repository for radioactive contaminated wastes.
Shoji Ohtomo 1, Yukio Hirose 2, Susumu Ohnuma 3
1 Konan Women's University, 6580001, Kobe, Japan, 2 Kansai University, 5691098, Takatsuki, Japan, 3 Hokkaido University, 0600808, Sapporo, Japan
Injury Pyramid of Japan: An Estimate
Yoshiki Mikami, Kun Zhang
Nagaoka University of Technology, 940-2188, Nagaoka, Japan
Testing the Cross-over Effect of Risk Perception and Cyber Factors on the On/Off-Line Oppositions toward Nuclear Power Energy
Seoyong Kim 1, Sunhee Kim 2
1 Department of Public Administration, Ajou University, 16499, Suwon, Korea, Republic of (South), 2 Department of Public Administation, Seowon University, 28674, Cheongjoo, Korea, Republic of (South)
Beyond HSM (Heuristic-Systematic Information Processing Model): Exploring the Function of REM (Rational-Emotional Information Processing Model) in Risk Judgement
Seoyong Kim 1, Sunhee Kim 2
1 Department of Public Administration, AJou University, 16499, Suwon, Korea, Republic of (South), 2 Department of Public Administration, Seowon University, 28674, Cheongjoo, Korea, Republic of (South)
EVALUATION OF ACCESSIBILITY TO EVACUATION AREAS
Yasin Sezer Turk, Tugba Ozer, Handan Kaplan, Nergiz Kayki, Goktug Koseahmet, Seda Kundak
Istanbul Technical University, 34437, Istanbul, Turkey
People risk and the approach to operational risk management in banks: old threats and new tools
Kumbirai Mabwe 1, Patrick Ring 2, Robert Webb 3
1 1.University of South Wales, CF37 1DL, Pontypridd, United Kingdom, 2 Glasgow Caledonian University, G4 0BA, Glasgow, United Kingdom, 3 University of Nottingham, NG7 2QL, Nottingham, United Kingdom
Analysis of Determinants for Opposition Actions toward Nuclear Power in Cyberspace Focusing the Role of Identity
Sehyeok Jeon, Seoyong Kim, Junhan Kim
Ajou University, 16496, Suwon, Korea, Republic of (South)
A Study on Korean Universities’ Formation of Slack Resources against the Financial Risk
Sang-Seok Bae 1, Donggeun Kim 2
1 Professor in the Department of Public Administration, Ajou University, 16499, Suwon city, Korea, Republic of (South), 2 Professor in the Department of Economics, Ajou University, 16499, Suwon city, Korea, Republic of (South)
The Empirical Analysis of Confirmation Biases toward Negative Online Information about Nuclear Power: Comparing the Role of the Cyber and Psychometric-paradigm
Sehyeok Jeon, Seoyong Kim, Sung-Man Hong
Ajou University, 16496, Suwon, Korea, Republic of (South)
Analyzing the Effect of Multidimensional Trust on Opposition to Nuclear Power Energy: Focusing on the Trust in Cyberspace
Miri Kim, Seoyong Kim, Seongbin Park
Ajou University, 16499, Suwon, Korea, Republic of (South)
Analysis of Determinants for Attitude Change in Nuclear Power Energy in Cyberspace
Miri Kim 1, Seoyong Kim 1, Jaebok Joo 2
1 Ajou University, 16499, Suwon, Korea, Republic of (South), 2 Korea Research Institute for Local Administration, 06647, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)
The Analysis of Trust with the Risk Information about the Nuclear Power in Cyberspace
Joo Hwang 1, Seo-yong Kim 1, Jung-yul Kim 2
1 Ajou University, 16499, Suwon, Korea, Republic of (South), 2 Daegu University, 38453, Gyeongsan, Korea, Republic of (South)
Measuring PV technical potential, financial feasibility, and associated societal benefits for higher education institutions in the United States
Nichole Hanus, Inês Azevedo, Gabrielle Wong-Parodi, Alex Davis
Carnegie Mellon University, 15213, Pittsburgh, United States
What Makes the Confidence about Rumors about Nuclear Power Energy?
Jihye Kim, Seoyong Kim, Dongeun Kim
Ajou University, 16499, Suwon, Korea, Republic of (South)
Noise Environmental Impact and Management by On & Off shore Wind Farm
Song sunyoung 1, Pak Seongbin 2, Park Joowon 3
1 Ajou university, 16499, Suwon city, Korea, Republic of (South), 2 Ajou university, 16499, Suwon city, Korea, Republic of (South), 3 New&Renewable Energy Committee of Korea People's Party, 07238, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)
The framework of public participation in environmental policy for resilience and adaptation by comparing the case studies.
Etsuko Yoshida 1, Hiroshi Kagemoto 2, Yoshiaki Akutsu 1
1 Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, 2770882, kashiwa, Japan, 2 Faculty of applied information technology, Nagasaki Institute of Applied Science, 8510193, Nagasaki, Japan
The notion of human induced influenza pandemics - a risk based scenario with highly pathogenic modified avian influenza A(H5N1).
Björn Nevhage 1, 2, Roger Roffey 1
1 FOI, Swedish Defence Research Agency, 164 90, Stockholm, Sweden, 2 KTH, Royal Institute of Technology, 10044, Stockholm, Sweden
Can traditional didactic models be used in education for the unforeseen?
Herner Saeverot 1, Glenn-Egil Torgersen 2, Ane Malene Saeverot 3, Siv Kristin Yndestad Borgen 1
1 Department of Education, Western Norway University, 5020, Bergen, Norway, 2 Norwegian Defence University College, 0015, Oslo, Norway, 3 University of Bergen, 5020, Bergen, Norway
Empirical Analysis of Attitude Change after Fukushima Nuclear Accident through Multilevel Modeling
Sangseok Bae, Seoyong Kim
Ajou University, 16499, suwon, Korea, Republic of (South)
Foodborne outbreaks risk mitigation: from epidemiologic investigation to school education
Silvia Viegas, Paulo Fernandes, Roberto Brazão, Luísa Oliveira, Maria Antónia Calhau
Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge, 1649-016, Lisboa, Portugal
PortFIR – An integrated approach for food risk analysis in Portugal
Paulo Fernandes, Silvia Viegas, Roberto Brazão, Luísa Oliveira, Maria Antónia Calhau
Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge, 1649-016, Lisboa, Portugal
Does Experience Affect Judgement? Analyzing the impact of online experience on nuclear risk perception
Pyung Kim, Seoyong Kim
Ajou University, 16499, Suwon-si, Korea, Republic of (South)
Impact of a flash-flood risk communication strategy on the awareness of preparedness and response actions
Maria Amerigo 1, Juan A. Garcia 1, Jose M. Bodoque 2, Andres Diez-Herrero 3, Jorge Olcina 4, Raquel Perez-Lopez 5
1 Castilla-La Mancha University, Research Group on Environmental Psychology., 45071, Toledo, Spain, 2 Castilla-La Mancha University, Dept. of Mining and Geological Engineering,, 45071, Toledo, Spain, 3 Geological Hazards Division, Geological Survey of Spain, 28003, Madrid, Spain, 4 University of Alicante, Dept. of Regional Geographical Analysis, 03690, Alicante, Spain, 5 Valladolid University, Dept. of Psychology, 42004, Soria, Spain
Can Facebook promote pro-environmental behaviors?
Tsunjen Shih
National Chengchi University, 116, Taipei, Taiwan
Communicating uncertainty about probability: equivalent binomial count
Jason O'Rawe 1, Michael Balch 2, Scott Ferson 3
1 Applied Biomathematics 100 North Country Road, 11733, Setauket, New York, United States, 2 Alexandria Validation Consulting, LLC 8565 Richmond Highway, #203, 22309, Alexandria, Virginia, United States, 3 Institute for Risk and Uncertainty University of Liverpool, L69 7ZF, Liverpool, United Kingdom
Diagnostic medical testing: one size does not fit all
Scott Ferson
Institute for Risk and Uncertainty University of Liverpool, L69 7ZF, Liverpool, United Kingdom
Pilotproject aimed at “Helping children develop the thinking tools to deal with risk and decisionmaking under conditions of uncertainty”.
Anne Michiels van Kessenich
gemeente Haarlem, 2318MA, leiden, Netherlands
Historical exposure to heavy metals in air
Stina Alriksson, Elin Voxberg, Monika Filipsson, Anna Augustsson
Linnaeus University, 391 82, Kalmar, Sweden
The Impact of Beliefs, Motives and Worldviews on Social Acceptance of Renewable Energy Technologies
Robert Sposato, Nina Hampl
Alpen-Adria Universität Klagenfurt, 9500, Klagenfurt, Austria
COMPETENCE FOR THE UNFORESEEN The importance of human, social and organizational factors
Marius Herberg 1, Glenn-Egil Torgersen 2, Torbørn Rundmo 3
1 Norwegian Defence University College, MILPED, Akershus fortress, Oslo Mil/Akershus 0015 Oslo, 0015, Oslo, Norway, 2 Norwegian Defence University College, MILPED, Akershus fortress, Oslo Mil/Akershus 0015 Oslo, 0015, Oslo, Norway, 3 Department of Psychology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, NO-7491 Trondheim, NO-7491, Trondheim, Norway
Consumption of home-produced foods in south eastern Sweden – new data for use in exposure assessments
Monika Filipsson, Alexandra Karlsson, Stina Alriksson, Anna Augustsson
Linnaeus University, 391 82, Kalmar, Sweden
Variability in frequency and quantity of used personal health care products by young people for use in quantitative exposure assessment
Sandra Hultgren, Monika Filipsson
Linnaeus University, 391 82, Kalmar, Sweden
Collaborative value network around Mental Modeling Technology™ Platform for integrated risk management and risk communication
Gordon Butte, Dyna Vink
Decision Partners: Cognitive Science Systems LP, 15217, Pittsburgh, United States
Augmenting Risk Management Processes with Model-Based Identification of Critical Characteristics
Carmen Elizabeth Castaño Reyes 1, 2, Poornima Belavadi 2, Robert Schmitt 1, 2
1 Fraunhofer IPT, 52074, Aachen, Germany, 2 RWTH Aachen University, 52056, Aachen, Germany
The effect of PM2.5 regulatory thresholds on all-cause mortality among active commuters. A case study from London and Beijing.
George Yiallouros, Panayiotis Kouis, Stefania Papatheodorou
Cyprus International Institute for Environmental and Public Health, Cyprus University of Technology, 3041, Limassol, Cyprus
20:00 - 22:30
Social programme III (extra)
Tuesday, June 20th
08:30 - 09:00
Registration
Conference hall
09:00 - 09:10
SRA-E Awards announcement
Auditorium #2
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Seda Kundak, President-Elect - Society for Risk Analysis-Europe
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09:10 - 09:40
Dr Kuttschreuter: Social media & serious gaming in a risky world
Auditorium #2
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Global societal development is not only characterised by new challenges and new threats, but also by new technologies and new instruments that might be helpful in addressing them. The mitigation of new risks is advanced by informing and advising the general public on these risks and on effective strategies to adequately cope with them. Social media and serious games have recently grown into important information channels, which makes them very relevant to risk analysis.

With the introduction of the Web 2.0 a decade ago, the risk communication landscape changed dramatically. Social networking sites emerged and organisations became able to attach platforms to their websites inviting user comments and contributions. This enabled risk communicators to better reach out to specific target groups, interact with platform users and to facilitate interactions between their users. The last decade also witnessed a significant rise in serious gaming. The introduction of 3D-environments significantly improved video games for entertainment purpose. This also boosted the popularity of serious gaming.

This talk will discuss the significance of social media and serious gaming to risk analysis. Focus will be on the potential of social media and serious gaming to help risk communicators understand how people respond to risk and risk information. What information can we find out? Does the information on social media affect individual attitudes? Does this information spread, and if so, what do we know about this process? A second focus relates to the use of social media and serious gaming in informing and advising the general public. Does it make sense, and is it effective, to use social media as a channel to provide risk information? What do the features of social media mean for current risk communication models? What do we know on the effectiveness of risk-related serious games in enhancing informed decision making?

The answers to these and similar questions will demonstrate the potentials of social media and serious gaming in facilitating informed risk decision making and their contribution to resilience and adaptation in a risky world.
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09:40 - 10:10
Prof. Gonçalves: Risk-based approach & personal data protection
Auditorium #2
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The European Union approved the first broad reform of its personal data protection legislation in May 2016, to enter into force in 2018. Remarkably, with this reform a risk-based approach is being introduced as the main legal enforcement model, while data protection authorities see their regulatory role significantly weakened. The risk-based approach is to be implemented by the data controllers (i.e. the operators) via data protection impact assessments (evoking the established environmental impact assessment procedure) and notification of breaches. Hence the scope of both the concept of risk and risk regulation spread beyond conventional domains, namely the environment, public health or safety, i.e. physical risks, to encompass intangible values, presumably harder to assess. Strikingly, the reform has been accompanied by a confident discourse by EU institutions, and their avowed belief in the reform’s ability to safeguard the fundamental right to data protection in the face of evolving data processing techniques specifically, big data, the Internet of Things, and related algorithmic decision-making. However, one may wonder whether there isn’t cause for concern in view of the way risk-based approach has been designed in the data protection legislation. In this presentation, the data protection reform’s underlying rationality is analysed. Comparison with the risk regulatory experience in environmental law in particular is drawn upon to assist us in pondering the limitations as well as the opportunities of the novel risk-based approach.
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10:10 - 10:30
Keynotes 2-3 Q&A
Auditorium #2
10:30 - 11:00
Coffee break
11:00 - 12:30
Session: Symposium - Psychological Aspects of Risk Perception and Risk Behavior in Different Contexts
Tuesday, June 20th - Auditorium #2
Chair: Bernhard Streicher
11:00
Psychological Aspects of Risk Perception and Risk Behavior in Different Contexts
Bernhard Streicher
UMIT - University for Health Sciences, Medical Informatics and Technology, 6060, Hall in Tyrol, Austria
11:05
The influence of being active and time of day on intended risky behavior in winter sports.
Bernhard Streicher
UMIT - University for Health Sciences, Medical Informatics and Technology, 6060, Hall in Tyrol, Austria
11:20
Correcting Base-Rate Neglect in Interest-Rate Forecasts: Straight from Kahneman’s Book into Banking Practice
Johannes Voit
Deutscher Sparkassen- und Giroverband, 10117, Berlin, Germany
11:35
Effects of anchoring on market forecasts in banking practice – How to avoid biased expert judgements
Elisabeth Schneider 1, Bernhard Streicher 2, Eva Lermer 1, Lena Erne 1
1 LMU Munich, 80802, Munich, Germany, 2 UMIT, 6060, Hall, Tyrol, Austria
11:50
Smartphone use as an indicator for risk-taking
Eva Lermer 1, Martina Raue 2, Dieter Frey 1
1 Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, 80802, Munich, Germany, 2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 02139, Cambridge MA, United States
12:05
The influence of relational models on punishment behaviour in economic decision making
Astrid Harris, Elisabeth Schneider, Katharina Kugler, Felix C. Brodbeck
Ludwig Maximilians University Munich Department of economic and organisational psychology, 80802, Munich, Germany
11:00 - 12:30
Session: Symposium - Risk communication by Government Agencies: Are there similarities as well as differences
Tuesday, June 20th - Auditorium #3
Chair: Ragnar Lofstedt
11:00
Risk communication by Government Agencies: Are there similarities as well as differences?
Ragnar Lofstedt
Kings College London, WC2R 2LS, London, United Kingdom
11:05
Agency risk communication: The Swedish case of radon.
Ragnar Lofstedt
King's College London, WC2R 2LS, London, United Kingdom
11:20
  How do municipalities solve and apprehend contradictions between the communication of risks to civil society and the exposure of those.
Madeleine Prutzer, Åsa Boholm, Max Boholm
University of Gothenburg, School of Business, Economics and Law, Gothenburg Research Institute, 40530, Göteborg, Sweden
11:35
Remediating contaminated places: Closing the gap between desired outcome and current practice in risk communication
Annelie Sjölander-Lindqvist
University of Gothenburg, 405 30, Göteborg, Sweden
11:50
Transparency in risk communication: National and local government perspectives
Åsa Boholm
University of Gothenburg/GRI, SE 405 30, Göteborg, Sweden
12:05
Government agencies’ risk communication: a corpus linguistic approach to the analysis of web content
Max Boholm
University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg Research Institute, SE-40530 Göteborg, Göteborg, Sweden
11:00 - 12:30
Session: Symposium - Individuals and communities adaptation to global changes and extreme events
Tuesday, June 20th - Room #1
Chair: Rui Gaspar
11:00
Individuals and communities adaptation to global changes and extreme events
Rui Gaspar
University of Algarve, 8005-139, Faro, Portugal, William James Center for Research, ISPA-Instituto Universitario, 1149-041, Lisbon, Portugal
11:05
ICTs data collection for investigating human coping and resilience during potentially stressful extreme events
Rui Gaspar 1, 2, Zheng Yan 3, Samuel Domingos 2, Rita Beja 2
1 University of Algarve, 8005-139, Faro, Portugal, 2 William James Center for Research, ISPA-IU, 1149-041, Lisbon, Portugal, 3 University at Albany, State University of New York, NY, NY, United States
11:20
Baixo Vouga Lagunar: how does local populations perceive planning adaptation to climate changes?
Fabiana Freitas 1, Ana I. Lillebø 1, Nuno Rodrigues 1, Lisa Sousa 2, Fátima L. Alves 2, Catarina Roseta-Palma 3, Luísa Lima 3, Sílvia Luís 3
1 Departamento de Biologia & CESAM, Universidade de Aveiro, 3810-193, Aveiro, Portugal, 2 Departamento Ambiente e Ordenamento & CESAM, Universidade de Aveiro, 3810-193, Aveiro, Portugal, 3 Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL), CIS-IUL, 1649-026, Lisboa, Portugal
11:35
Promoting citizen’s resilience and adaptive potential to extreme heat weather events: the role of demands vs. resources appraisals
Samuel Domingos 1, Rui Gaspar 1, 2, João Marôco 1, Wändi Bruine de Bruin 3
1 William James Center for Research, ISPA-IU, Portugal, 1149-041, Lisbon, Portugal, 2 University of Algarve, Portugal, 8005-139, Faro, Portugal, 3 Centre for Decision Research, Leeds University Business School, United Kingdom, LS2 9JT, Leeds, Portugal
12:05
Which meteorological index is the best descriptor for winter mortality in elderly people in Lisbon district?
Susana Silva 1, Helena Mouriño 2, Liliana Antunes 1, Jorge Marques 3, Silvia Antunes 3, Carlos Dias 1, Baltazar Nunes 1
1 Departamento de Epidemiologia, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Doutor Ricardo Jorge, 1649-016, Lisboa, Portugal, 2 Departamento de Estatística e Investigação Operacional, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016, Lisboa, Portugal, 3 Divisão de Clima e Alterações Climáticas, Instituto Português do Mar e da Atmosfera, 1749-077, Lisboa, Portugal
11:00 - 12:30
Session: Poster platform session (PPS)
Tuesday, June 20th - Room #2
Chair: Catarina Roseta Palma
11:00
Should children be risk educated in school and, if so, how?
Delcina Burden, David Ball
Middlesex University, NW4 4BT, Hendon, United Kingdom
11:05
Risk Perception and Terrorist Activity: The case of Sweden
Saman Rashid
Mid Sweden University, SE-831 25, Östersund, Sweden
11:10
Changes in terror related risk perceptions in Germany after the Berlin Christmas Market Attack
Kristina Stumpf, Daniela Knuth, Silke Schmidt
Department Health and Prevention Ernst-Moritz-Arndt University Greifswald, 17487, Greifswald, Germany
11:15
Leader normativity in crisis management: tales from a school fire
Erna Danielsson 1, Angelika Sjöstedt-Landén 2
1 Mid Sweden University Risk and Crisis Research Centre, 831 25, Östersund, Sweden, 2 Mid Sweden University Forum for Gender Studies, 851 70, Sundsvall, Sweden
11:20
Digital interaction in education in the age of the unforeseen
Gila Hammer Furnes 1, Herner Saeverot 1, Glenn-Egil Torgersen 2
1 Department of Education, Western Norway University, 5020, Bergen, Norway, 2 Norwegian Defence University College, 0015, Oslo, Norway
11:25
Social perceptions and national security risks. A Romanian perspective
Valentin NICULA, Irena CHIRU
researcher, The National Institute for Intelligence Studies, "Mihai Viteazul" National Intelligence Academy, 075100, Bucharest, Romania
11:30
Social Media in Times of Crisis: Evolving Uses of Twitter in Turkey
Yucel Torun, Stella Maria Gkika, Seda Kundak
Istanbul Technical University, 34469, Istanbul, Turkey
11:35
 A Tool for Integration of Different Accident Databases
Kun Zhang, Yoshiki Mikami
Department of Nuclear System Safety, Nagaoka University of Technology, 940-2188, Nagaoka, Japan
11:00 - 12:30
Session: Symposium - Measuring Human Exposure to Traffic-Related Air Pollution
Tuesday, June 20th - Foyer
Chair: Chris Frey
11:00
SYMPOSIUM:  Measuring Human Exposure to Traffic-Related Air Pollution
Chris Frey
Department of Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering North Carolina State University, 27695-7908, Raleigh, United States
11:05
Measuring Human Exposure to Traffic-Related Air Pollution:  Case Study for Raleigh (USA)
Chris Frey, Sanjam Singh
Department of Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering North Carolina State University, 27695-7908, Raleigh, United States
11:20
A case study of individual exposure assessment using new Personal Exposure Kit (PEK) in Hong Kong
Zhi Ning
City University of Hong Kong, 0000, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
11:35
Development of a Personalized Real-time Air-quality Informatics System for Exposure in Hong Kong
Alexis Lau
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering & Division of Environment. The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China
12:30 - 13:00
Lunch
13:00 - 13:30
Benelux Chapter meeting
Foyer
13:00 - 13:30
Nordic Chapter meeting
Room #1
13:00 - 13:30
Iberian Chapter meeting
Room #2
13:30 - 15:00
Session: Symposium - The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA)’s Approaches to Providing Guidance on Uncertainty, Weight of Evidence and Biological Relevance in Scientific Assessments
Tuesday, June 20th - Auditorium #2
Chair: Maged Younes
13:30
The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA)’s Approaches to Providing Guidance on Uncertainty, Weight of Evidence and Biological Relevance in Scientific Assessments
Maged Younes 2, Tony Hardy 1, Jan Alexander 3, Tobin Robinson 1
1 European Food Safety Authority, 43126, Parma, Italy, 2 Independent International Expert, Global Public Health, 1295, Mies, Switzerland, 3 Norwegian Institute of Public Health, 0403, Oslo, Norway
13:35
The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA)’s Approaches to Providing Guidance on Weight of Evidence Assessment
Maged Younes 1, Jean Lou C.M. Dorne 2, Andrew D. M. Hart 3, Nikolaos Georgiadis 2
1 Independent International Expert, Global Public Health, 1295, Mies, Switzerland, 2 European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Parma, Italy, 43126, Parma, Italy, 3 Fera, YO41 1LZ, York, United Kingdom
13:50
The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA)’s Approaches to Providing Guidance on Biological Relevance
Jan Alexander 1, Nikolaos Georgiadis 2, Bernard Bottex 2
1 Institute of Public Health, 0403, Oslo, Norway, 2 European Food Safety Authority (EFSA),, 43126, Parma, Italy
14:05
The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA)’s Approaches to Providing Guidance on Uncertainty in Scientific Assessments
Caroline Merten 1, Andrew D. M. Hart 2, Andrea Germini 1, Anthony R. Hardy 1
1 European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), 43126, Parma, Italy, 2 FERA, YO41 1LZ, York, United Kingdom
14:20
Recipe writing with uncertain ingredients – communicating risk and scientific uncertainty in food safety
Anthony R. Hardy 1, Andrew D. M. Hart 2, Caroline Merten 1, Andrea Germini 1, Olaf Mosbach-Schulz 1, Rory Harrington 1, Cristina Da Cruz 1, Natalie von Götz 3, Laura Smillie 4, Julien Etienne 5, Anthony Smith 1
1 European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), 43126, Parma, Italy, 2 FERA, YO41 1LZ, York, United Kingdom, 3 ETH, 8093, Zürich, Switzerland, 4 Rothamsted Research, AL5 2JQ, Harpenden, United Kingdom, 5 ICF International, EC4M 5SB, London, United Kingdom
13:30 - 15:00
Session: Symposium - Pharmaceuticals in the environment: risk assessment, risk perception and pilot solutions
Tuesday, June 20th - Auditorium #3
Chair: Benoit Roig
13:30
Pharmaceuticals in the environment : risk assessment, risk perception and pilot solutions
Benoit Roig 1, Silvia Luis 2, Carole Blanchard 3
1 UNIVERSITE NIMES, 30000, Nimes, France, 2 Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL), 1649-026, Lisboa, Portugal, 3 Université Perpignan Via Domitia, 66860, Perpignan, France
13:35
Ecological and Human health risk of pharmaceutical products in the environment: present and future
Benoit Roig
UNIVERSITE NIMES, 30000, Nimes, France
13:50
Pharmaceutical products in the environment: impact indicator for health care establishments
Audrey Courtier, Benoit Roig
UNIVERSITE NIMES, 30000, Nimes, France
14:05
Pharmaceutical residues in senior residences wastewaters: Risks, innovative analytical tools and sustainable treatment processes: Innovec’Eau project
Lucía Poggio 1, Carole Calas-Blanchard 2
1 Complutense University of Madrid, 28223, Pozuelo de Alarcón, Spain, 2 Université de Perpignan, 66860, Perpignan, France
14:20
Presence, toxicity and risk of pharmaceuticals discharged from senior residences
Cristian Gomez 1, Teresa Sala 1, Victor Pueyo 1, Carlos Barata 1, Silvia Luis 2, Claire Joannis-Cassan 3, Gael Plantard 4, Carole Calas-Blanchard 5, Silvia Lacorte 1
1 IDAEA-CSIC, 08034, Barcelona, Spain, 2 Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL), 66666, Lisbon, Portugal, 3 INP-ENSIACET, 31030, Toulouse, France, 4 Laboratoire Procédés, Matériaux, Energies Solaires CNRS, 66100, Perpignan, France, 5 Laboratoire Biocapteurs, Analyses, Environnement, BAE-LBBM, 66860, Perpignan, France
14:35
Risk perception of pharmaceutical products in the environment in European countries.
Sílvia Luís 1, Maria Luísa Lima 1, Lucia Poggio 2, Juan Ignacio Aragones 2, Audrey Courtier 3, Benoit Roig 3
1 ISCTE-IUL, 1750-456, Lisboa, Portugal, 2 Complutense University of Madrid, 28223, Pozuelo de Alarcón, Spain, 3 UNIVERSITE NIMES, 30000, Nimes, France
13:30 - 15:00
Session: Poster platform session (PPS)
Tuesday, June 20th - Room #2
Chair: Catarina Roseta Palma
13:30
A multi-stakeholder approach to the establishment of guidelines for the management of the risk to human safety from falling trees.
John Watt 1, David Ball 1, Neville Fay 2
1 Centre for Decision Analysis and Risk Management (DARM), Middlesex University, UK, NW4 4BT, London, United Kingdom, 2 Treework Environmental Practice, BS3 2BX, Bristol, United Kingdom
13:35
Risk assessment after private housing development upon a former outdoor firing range: drafting a method through international experience
Jean David
Compagnie nationale des experts de justice en environnement, 92380, GARCHES, France
13:40
Integrating the Relative Importance of Multiple Stakeholders’ Future Behavior and the Influence of Scenarios on Priorities in Risk Analysis
Ayedh Almutairi, Professor James Lambert
Center for Risk Management of Engineering System University Of Virginia, 22901, Charlottesville, United States
13:45
The risk embedded in the linkage of mortgages
Yaffa Machnes
Bar-Ilan University, 52900, Ramat Gan, Israel
13:50
Regional Resilience as a Functional of Infrastructures Operational Risk  
Sviatoslav Timashev
 Sci.& Engng Center "Reliability and Safety of Large Systems and Machines" UB RAS( Yekaterinburg, Russia), 620049, Yekaterinburg, Russia, Ural Federal University ( Yekaterinburg, Russia), 620019, Yekaterinburg, Russia, Old Dominion University  Norfolk, VA USA, 22044, Norfolk, United States
13:55
The Effect of Economic Sanctions on Domestic Production and Trade of Sanctioned Goods
Misak Avetisyan 1, David Lektzian 2
1 Department of Economics, Texas Tech University, 79409, Lubbock, United States, 2 Department of Political Science, Texas Tech University, 79409, Lubbock, United States
14:00
Citizens’ Support for Drinking Water Risk Management. Local Municipalities and Collective Action in Swedish Water Governance.
Anna Bendz 1, Sverker Jagers 1, Simon Matti 2
1 University of Gothenburg, 40530, Gothenburg, Sweden, 2 Luleå University of Technology, 97187, Luleå, Sweden
14:05
Collaboration Exercise in a Military Context - Examining the Structure and Learning of an Air Operation Exercise for Cadets
Trygve Steiro 1, 2, Bjørn Eidsvåg 3
1 NTNU, 7465, Trondheim, Norway, 2 Defence College of Norway, 0015, Oslo, Norway, 3 Norwegian Defence University College, 0015, Oslo, Norway
13:30 - 15:00
Session: Symposium - Tackling deep uncertainty in the long-term management of flood, drought and coastal risks
Tuesday, June 20th - Foyer
Chair: Suraje Dessai
13:30
Tackling deep uncertainty in the long-term management of flood, drought and coastal risks
Suraje Dessai
University of Leeds, LS2 9JT, Leeds, United Kingdom
13:35
Qualitative and quantitative approaches to identify robust water management strategies under future climatic and socio-economic uncertainty
Ajay Bhave 1, Suraje Dessai 1, Declan Conway 2, David Stainforth 2
1 University of Leeds, LS6 4BT, Leeds, United Kingdom, 2 London School of Economics and Political Science, WC2A 2AE, London, United Kingdom
13:50
An exploratory model in support to the long-term management of large-scale flood risk systems
Alessio Ciullo 1, 2, Frans Klijn 1, 2, Karin De Bruijn 1, Jan Kwakkel 2, Marjolijn Haasnoot 1, 2
1 Deltares, 2600MH, Delft, Netherlands, 2 Delft University of Technology, 2600AA, Delft, Netherlands
14:05
The role of participatory action-research approaches in long-term climate change planning: two pilot studies
ines campos, Gil Penha-Lopes, Filipe Moreira Alves
Centre for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Changes (CE3C) University of Lisbon, Faculty of Sciences, 1600-313, Lisbon, Portugal
13:30 - 15:00
Session: Symposium - Stakeholders’ views of risk in nanotechnologies
Tuesday, June 20th - Room #1
Chair: Monica Lindh de Montoya
13:30
Stakeholders’ views of risk in nanotechnologies
Monica Lindh de Montoya
School of Global Studies (SGS), 40530, Gothenburg, Sweden
13:35
Risk and new materials: innovation advisors’ perspectives on risk in nanotech innovation
Monica Lindh de Montoya
School of Global Studies, 40530, Gothenburg, Sweden
13:50
Expert stakeholders’ understandings of risks and benefits of nanomaterials: A Swedish study
Åsa Boholm 1, Simon Larsson 2
1 University of Gothenburg, School of Global Studies, 41314, Gothenburg, Sweden, 2 University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg Research Institute, 40530, Gothenburg, Sweden
14:05
From carbon nanotubes to graphene – Perception of risk among nanoscientists
Mikael Johansson
Gothenburg Reserch Institute - School of Business, Economics and Law. Gothenburg University, 405 30, Gothenburg, Sweden
15:00 - 15:30
Coffee break
15:30 - 16:30
Roundtable: Risk and resilience across borders
Auditorium #2
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Barbara Rath, Co-founder & Chair - Vienna Vaccine Safety Initiative, Germany
Filipa Melo de Vasconcelos, General Sub-Inspector - Economic and Food Safety Authority (ASAE), Portugal
José Maria Albuquerque, Board Member - National Health Institute Dr. Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Portugal
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15:30 - 16:30
Session: Risk and uncertainty communication I
Tuesday, June 20th - Auditorium #3
Chair: Delta Silva
15:30
Evaluating a risk communication process for seismic risk protection: methodological challenges
Delta Silva, Alvaro Pereira, Ricardo Bernardo, Marta Vicente
Laboratório Nacional de Engenharia Civil, 1700-066, Lisbon, Portugal
15:45
Empowering youngsters for seismic risk reduction through participatory maquette modeling
Marta Vicente 1, Delta Silva 1, Alvaro Pereira 1, Ricardo Bernardo 1, Mónica Ferreira 2
1 Laboratório Nacional de Engenharia Civil, 1700-066, Lisbon, Portugal, 2 Instituto Superior Técnico, 1049-001, Lisbon, Portugal
16:00
From a passive to an active approach in risk communication. The effects of behavioral training on self-protectiveness of children.
Milou Kievik 1, Ellen Giebels 2
1 Saxion University of Applied Sciences, 7513 AB, Enschede, Netherlands, 2 University of Twente, 7522 NB, Enschede, Netherlands
16:15
The effect of icon arrays and analogies in risk communication among adolescents
Kirill Gavrilov 1, 3, Aigul Mavletova 1, 2, Tatiana Holmogorova 1
1 Department of Sociology, National Research University Higher School of Economics, 101000, Moscow, Russia, 2 Laboratory for Comparative Social Research, National Research University Higher School of Economics, 101000, Moscow, Russia, 3 Institute of Sociology, Russian Academy of Sciences, 117218, Moscow, Russia
15:30 - 16:30
Session: Risk perception and risk communication
Tuesday, June 20th - Room #1
Chair: Frederic Bouder
15:30
The crumb rubber crisis: Changes in public perceptions of risk in the Netherlands
Marion de Vries 1, 2, Liesbeth Claassen 1, 2, Marcel Mennen 1, Aura Timen 1, Margreet te Wierik 1, Danielle Timmermans 1, 2
1 Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), 3720 BA, Bilthoven, Netherlands, 2 Department of Public and Occupational Health, Amsterdam Public Health research institute, VU University Medical Center, 1007MB, Amsterdam, Netherlands
15:45
Risk Perceptions of Enhanced Weathering as a Biological Negative Emissions Option
Nick Pidgeon, Elspeth Spence
Cardiff University, CF10 3AT, Cardiff, United Kingdom
16:00
Evaluation of accident scenarios in the era of big data
Nicola Paltrinieri
Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, NTNU, 7031, Trondheim, Norway
16:15
National Styles of Communication: a new polder model?
Frederic Bouder 1, Ragnar Löfstedt 2
1 Maastricht University, 6211SZ, Maastricht, Netherlands, 2 Kings College London, WC2R 2LS, London, United Kingdom
15:30 - 16:30
Session: Secure and resilient communities
Tuesday, June 20th - Room #2
Chair: Jerry Busby
15:30
Organizational vulnerability and cybersecurity risk to industrial control systems: developing a systematic attentional framework
Alberto Zanutto 1, Sylvain Frey 1, Karolina Follis 3, Awais Rashid 1, Jerry Busby 2
1 School of Computing and Communications, Lancaster University, LA1 4WA, Lancaster, United Kingdom, 2 Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, LA1 4YX, Lancaster, United Kingdom, 3 Department of Politics, Philosophy and Religion, Lancaster University, LA1 4YL, Lancaster, United Kingdom
15:45
The paradox of privacy: An experimental investigation of WTA Vs WTP
Cormac Bryce, Thorsten Chmura, Natalie Moore
University of Nottingham, ng81bb, nottingham, United Kingdom
16:00
Indicators for Assessing and Achieving Resilient and Sustainable Communities
Leslie Gillespie-Marthaler, Kate Nelson, Mark Abkowitz
Vanderbilt University, 37235-1831, Nashville, United States
16:15
Attitudes Towards Science as a Source of Risk In Policy Making
Frederico Francisco, Joana Gonçalves-Sá
Instituto Gulbenkian de Ciência, 2780-156, Oeiras, Portugal
15:30 - 16:30
Session: Risk Perception and Risk Communication II
Tuesday, June 20th - Foyer
Chair: Anna Pinto
15:30
Disseminating correct food practices through the web: the role of food bloggers in food risks communication
Anna Pinto, Giulia Mascarello, Mosè Giaretta, Anna Nadin, Claudio Mantovani
Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale delle Venezie, Health Awareness and Communication Department, 35020, Legnaro (PD), Italy
15:45
The role of ambivalence, desired lifestyles and identities in shaping perceptions of CO2 injection and storage risks
Gareth Thomas, Nicholas Pidgeon
Understanding Risk Group, School of Psychology, Cardiff University,, CF10 3AT, Cardiff, United Kingdom
16:00
perception of food safety and the 'worldview' of Dutch consumers
Carla Geijskes
Netherlands Food and Consumer Product Safety Authority Office of Risk Assessment and Research, 3511 GG, Utrecht, Netherlands, University of Maastricht NUTRIM, 6200MD, Maastricht, Netherlands
17:10 - 23:15
Social programme IV: Train tour & gala dinner
Entrecampos Train Station
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The social programme includes: Train tour (with return trip) with complimentary drinks & biscuits; cocktail reception at the vinyard’s balcony; tour of the “Casa Ermelinda Freitas” museum & winery; Dinner; “Casa Ermelinda Freitas” complimentary gift.

Please note that the winery is located outside Lisbon. One train will be rented to accomodate all the conference participants and guests travelling. The departure will take place from the train station Entrecampos on Tuesday June 20, at 5.30pm.

After the last conference session's end at 4.30pm, we suggest all participants to go directly from the venue to the train station (walking distance = 20min; buses = 10min; taxi = 5min). You will find conference assistants ready to help you at the station (look for the SRA-E t-shirts). Please arrive through the street "Rua Dr. Eduardo Neves" that crosses the avenue "Av. 5 de outubro".

Desired time of arrival at the station is 5.10pm to ensure a timely and smooth boarding. Please note that there won’t be any delays in the departure time. The train will exit EXACTLY at 5.30pm from Platform 6-7.
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Wednesday, June 21st
09:00 - 09:30
Registration
Conference hall
09:30 - 09:40
SRA-E 2017 closing & SRA-E 2018 announcement
Auditorium #2
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Rui Gaspar & Sílvia Luís, Organizing Committee - 26th SRA-Europe Conference
Anna Olofsson, Organizing Committee - 27th SRA-Europe Conference
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09:40 - 10:10
Dr. Linkov: From Risk to Resilience: Shifting Paradigm
Auditorium #2
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Concepts are often prone to ambiguities driven by metaphorical usage that undermine science endeavors. Resilience, sustainability, risk, and risk communication are prime examples of this, where practitioners within these fields frequently contend with inaccurate or imprecise disciplinary definitions that ultimately lead to logic faults or unclear guidance for customers and stakeholders.

To address such concerns, this talk delves into the core meaning behind the disciplinary use of ‘resilience’ to advocate for a more operationalized usage of the term in our daily lexicon. Specifically, this talk will discuss resilience components such as (i) its normatively neutral (rather than inherently positive) framing, (ii) its inherent focus upon systemic and multi-temporal risk events, and the occasionally paradoxical relationship between resilience and sustainability in applied resilience scholarship and research. In this vein, this talk will raise a brief overview of the human – environment interaction in order to highlight the systematic entropic action that can simultaneously generate system resilience in some cases while increase system brittleness to the effects of others.
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After reviewing a general background of the disciplinary and definitional concerns in the fields of risk and resilience, this talk will review real-world field experiments which serve as some of the key risk-based challenges of our day. Applications from such ideas will be referenced from ongoing difficulties associated with ‘not-in-my-backyard’ (NIMBY) social dilemmas (described here as an example of the Tragedy of the Anticommons), where local publics can use their individual and collective power to resist project development within their local communities. Using these applied definitions of risk, resilience, and risk communication, this talk will ultimately highlight recent work which sought to address NIMBY coordination failures via a two-step approach that (i) generates trust and cooperation between such publics and project planners, and (ii) uses this trust and coordination to generate shared knowledge of risk within uncertain and potentially adversarial environments which inform future development action.

These field experiments indicate that a rigorous attempt to address public mistrust and perceptions of power imbalances and change the pay-off structure of the given dilemma may help overcome such anticommons problems in specific cases, and may potentially generate enthusiasm and support for such projects by local publics moving forward.
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10:10 - 10:40
Dr. Palma-Oliveira - Conflict, Risk & Resilience
Auditorium #2
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Risk-based approaches have been used to assess threats and mitigate consequences associated with their impact. Risk assessment requires quantifying the risk of failure for each component of a system and associated uncertainties, with the goal of identifying each component’s contribution to the overall risk and ascertaining if one component poses substantially more risk than the others. These components become the basis of quantitative benchmarks for the system, and becomes the de facto standard for system improvements designed to buy down risk. Rapid technological evolution, combined with the unprecedented nature and extent of emerging threats defy us to enumerate all potential hazards, much less estimate reliable probabilities of occurrence and the magnitude of consequences. A comprehensive approach to protecting the nation’s critical infrastructure, economy, and well-being must be risk based—not risk exclusive—and must provide a way for decision makers to make their organizational systems resilient to a range of threats within specific cost and time restraints. In contrast to the definition of risk, resilience is focused on the ability to prepare and recover quickly from threats which may be known or unknown. Resilience is a property of the system itself and can be measured without identification and assessment of threats which act on or within a system. Managing for resilience requires ensuring a system’s ability to plan and prepare for a threat, and then absorb, recover, and adapt. Coupled with a systems view that decomposes components across physical, information, cognitive, and social environments in which the system exists, is the basis of an approach to quantifying resilience with decision analytical tools and network science approaches.

This presentation will review the history of risk assessment and management, discuss the emergence of resilience management, and the role of both constructs in managing emerging risks. Case studies in the areas of infrastructure, transportation, cybersecurity, organizational behavior, and disease epidemics management will be discussed. Specifically, summaries of the two recent workshops on Risk and Resilience (Aspen, 2015 and Azores 2016) will be presented and the International Risk Governance Council (IRGC) Guidebook on Resilience released in Davos in August 2016 will be introduced.
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10:40 - 11:00
Keynotes 4-5 Q&A
Auditorium #2
11:00 - 11:30
Coffee break
11:30 - 13:00
Session: New methods, new tools, new data in risk and resilience research I
Wednesday, June 21st - Auditorium #2
Chair: Lars Bodsberg
11:30
Unpacking the language of SARF: what did ‘public concern’ about ash dieback look like?
Julie Barnett, John Fellenor
University of Bath, BA2 7AY, Bath, United Kingdom
11:45
Defining Resilience Indicators for Critical Infrastructure based on a Top-down Approach
Lars Bodsberg, Knut Øien
SINTEF, 7465, Trondheim, Norway
12:00
A meta-study of nuclear power plants operational experience topical studies examining trends, characteristics and lessons learned
Zdenko Simic 1, Miguel Peinador Veira 1, Reni Banov 2
1 European Commission Joint Research Centre (EC JRC), Directorate G Nuclear Safety and Security, NL-1755ZG, Petten, Netherlands, 2 University of Zagreb, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computing, 10000, Zagreb, Croatia
12:15
Relationships between the exposure and resilience in disaster risk reduction
Dorota Rucińska
University of Warsaw, Faculty of Geography and Regional Studies, 00-927, Warsaw, Poland
12:30
Home as haven? Why place attachment matters for perceptions and communication of risk
Tara Quinn 1, Francois Bousquet 2, Chloe Gerbois 3
1 University of Exeter, TR11, Falmouth, United Kingdom, 2 CIRAD, 34980, Montpellier, France, 3 Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University, 6530, George, United Kingdom
11:30 - 13:00
Session: Uncertainty, climate change and energy policies
Wednesday, June 21st - Auditorium #3
Chair: Hans-Rüdiger Pfister
11:30
Climate change on the internet: An analysis of English and Norwegian social web contributions
Hans-Rüdiger Pfister 1, Gisela Böhm 2
1 Leuphana University Lüneburg, 21335, Lüneburg, Germany, 2 University of Bergen, 5015, Bergen, Norway
11:45
Risk Governance of Climate Change Adaptation: A case study of risk-based decision-making in Germany and the UK
Manuel Friedlein
Maastricht University, 6211 LK, Maastricht, Netherlands
12:00
Climate risk and vulnerability analysis applying the IPCC-AR5 concept in practice
Stefan Schneiderbauer 1, Marc Zebsisch 1, Kathrin Renner 1, Till Below 2, Michael Brossmann 3, Susanne Schwan 2
1 eurac research, 39100, Bolzano, Italy, 2 Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ), 65760, Eschborn, Germany, 3 Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ), 53113, Bonn, Germany
12:15
Renewable energy and safety concerns: the case of secondary batteries
Roberto Bubbico 1, Cinzia Di Bari 2, Carla Menale 1
1 Department of Chemical, Materials and Environmental Engineering, “Sapienza” University of Rome, 00184, Roma, Italy, 2 Laboratory of Systems and Technologies for Sustainable Mobility and Electric Energy Storage of the Italian National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development (ENEA), Roma, Italy, 00123, Roma, Italy
11:30 - 13:00
Session: Global health, global threats: Risk & resilience across borders
Wednesday, June 21st - Room #1
Chair: Pierre Bentata
11:30
Synergistic risk and decision making: A study of whether knowledge of harmful drug-drug interactions affects drug dosing behaviours
Ian Dawson 1, Simone Dohle 2
1 Centre for Risk Research University of Southampton, SO17 1BJ, Southampton, United Kingdom, 2 Social Cognition Center University of Cologne, 50931, Cologne, Germany
11:45
The Dutch one-health strategy to restrain the emerging threat of antibiotic resistance
Marcel Mennen, Mariken van der Lubben
National Institute of Public Health and Environment (RIVM), 3720 BA, Bilthoven, Netherlands
12:00
Innovative drugs: are prices too high? A French case studies.
Pierre Bentata
ESC Troyes, 10000, Troyes, France
12:15
Effects of pro- vs. anti-vaccine narratives on responses by recipients varying in numeracy: A cross-sectional survey-based experiment
Wandi Bruine de Bruin 1, 6, Annika Wallin 2, Andrew M. Parker 3, JoNell Strough 4, Janel Hanmer 5
1 Center for Decision Research, Leeds University Business School, LS2 9JT, Leeds, United Kingdom, 2 Department of Cognitive Science, Lund University, 222 22, Lund, Sweden, 3 RAND Corporation, 15213, Pittsburgh, United States, 4 Department of Psychology, West Virginia University, 26506, Morgantown, United States, 5 Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, 15213, Pittsburgh, United States, 6 Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, 15213, Pittsburgh, United States
11:30 - 13:00
Session: Resilience, decision-making and uncertainty I
Wednesday, June 21st - Foyer
Chair: Bernadette Sütterlin
11:30
Integration of Quantitative Risk Assessment Methods for Transport Fatality Estimates – a Case Study.
Kevin Oldham 1, Jessica Spinetto 1, Celia Cunningham 1, Chris Ballantyne 2
1 Navigatus Consulting Limited, 1051, Auckland, New Zealand, 2 New Zealand Transport Agency, 6141, Welligton, New Zealand
11:45
Energy security risks: Public perceptions, resilience and decision-making
Christina Demski, Nick Pidgeon
Cardiff University, UK, CF10 3AT, Cardiff, United Kingdom
12:00
The biasing effect of symbolic information and perceived naturalness on evaluations of environmental hazards: The case of fracking
Bernadette Sütterlin, Michael Siegrist
ETH Zurich, Institute for Environmental Decisions, Consumer Behavior, 8092, Zurich, Switzerland
12:15
Foundations in New Interaction (“Samhandling”). Risk Based Theory – A scientific model
Glenn-Egil Torgersen 1, 2, Herner Saeverot 3, Ole Boe 1, Bjoern Eidsvaag 1, Trygve Steiro 4, 5
1 Norwegian Defence University College, 0015, Oslo, Norway, 2 University College of Southeast Norway, 3603, Kongsberg, Norway, 3 Department of Education, Bergen University College, 5020, Bergen, Norway, 4 Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Department of Teachers Education, 7491, Trondheim, Norway, 5 Royal Norwegian Air Force Academy, 7491, Trondheim, Norway
12:30
Off-shoring external borders of the European Union as a strategy of risk management and governance.
Anna Moraczewska
Maria Curie-Sklodowska University, 20-031, Lublin, Poland
11:30 - 13:00
Session: Coastal, maritime and flood risks
Wednesday, June 21st - Room #2
Chair: Andrew Roberts
11:30
Exploring Risk and Identity with New Technology - the Swansea Bay tidal lagoon
Andrew Roberts
Understanding Risk research Group, Cardiff University, CF10 3XQ, Cardiff, United Kingdom
11:45
Autonomous adaptation to climatic hazards and its determinants for building resilience in Taiwan’s fishing communities using a social network approach
Hung-Chih Hung 1, Guang-Ming Guo 2
1 Department of Real Estate and Built Environment, National Taipei University, Taiwan, 23741, New Taipei City, Taiwan, 2 Department of Real Estate and Built Environment, National Taipei University, Taiwan, 23741, New Taipei City, Taiwan
12:00
UK Public Perceptions of Ocean Acidification – The Importance of Environmental Identity and Affect
Elspeth Spence, Nicholas Pidgeon, Paul Pearson
Cardiff University, CF10 3AT, Cardiff, United Kingdom
12:15
Coastal Risk Challenges and Societal Responses in China
Guizhen He
State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Centre for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100085, Beijing, China
12:30
Cumulative risk judgments and choice: an application to flood risks
Cristobal De La Maza 1, Ines Azevedo 1, Alex Davis 1, Cleotilde Gonzalez 2
1 Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, 15213, Pittsburgh, United States, 2 Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University, 15213, Pittsburgh, United States
13:00 - 13:30
Lunch
13:30 - 15:00
Session: New methods, new tools, new data in risk and resilience research II
Wednesday, June 21st - Auditorium #2
Chair: Vedran Lesic
13:30
Measuring risk perception: What is the best way?
Robyn Wilson 1, Adam Zwickle 2
1 The Ohio State University, 43210, Columbus, United States, 2 Michigan State University, 48823, East Lansing, United States
13:45
Driver perceptions of risk from smart phone use while driving
John Watt 1, Asma Saud Alfayez 2, David Ball 1, Huw Jones 1
1 Centre for Decision Analysis and Risk Management, School of Science and Technology Middlesex University, NW4 4BT., London, United Kingdom, 2 Risk Management Unit, Deanship of Quality and Academic Accreditation, University of Dammam, 31441, Dammam, Saudi Arabia
14:00
How far is it? Distance perception and vulnerability in cities.
Radu Ionescu 1, Iuliana Armas 2
1 University of Bucharest, 050107, Bucharest, Romania, 2 University of Bucharest, 050107, Bucharest, Romania
14:15
Female Babies as a Determinant of Adult Risk-Aversion
Ganna Pogrebna 1, Andrew Oswald 2, David Haig 3
1 University of Warwick, Warwick Manufacturing Group, CV4 7AL, Coventry, United Kingdom, 2 University of Warwick, Department of Economics, CV4 7AL, Coventry, United Kingdom, 3 Harvard University, Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, MA 02138, Cambridge, United States
14:30
Assessing consumers' perceptions of electricity use: Does providing reference points help?
Vedran Lesic 1, 2, Wändi Bruine de Bruin 1, 4, Matthew Davis 3, Ines Lima Azevedo 4, Tamar Krishnamurti 4
1 Centre for Decision Research, Leeds University Business School, LS2 7QS, Leeds, United Kingdom, 2 Consumer Data Research Centre, University of Leeds, LS2 7QS, Leeds, United Kingdom, 3 Socio-Technological Centre, Leeds University Business School, LS2 7QS, Leeds, United Kingdom, 4 Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, 15213, Pittsburgh, United States
13:30 - 15:00
Session: Human factors, organizational and occupational safety
Wednesday, June 21st - Auditorium #3
Chair: Daniela Lima
13:30
Environmental and health risks of household cleaning products: conventional vs green labelled products
Rachel Hollis 1, William Young 2, Chris Rayner 3, Wandi Bruine de Bruin 4
1 University of Leeds, LS2 9JT, Leeds, United Kingdom, 2 School of Earth & Environment, University of Leeds, LS2 9JT, Leeds, United Kingdom, 3 School of Chemistry, University of Leeds, LS2 9JT, Leeds, United Kingdom, 4 Centre for Decision Research, Leeds University Business School, University of Leeds, LS2 9JT, Leeds, United Kingdom
13:45
Accident analysis: the misattribution and its consequences
Daniela Lima 1, José Palma-Oliveira 2, Miguel Pereira Lopes 1
1 Instituto Superior de Ciências Sociais e Políticas, 1300- 663, Lisboa, Portugal, 2 Faculdade de Psicologia, Universidade de Lisboa, 1649-013, Lisboa, Portugal
14:00
Do change management theories provide safety in organizational changes in high-risk industries? How do change management theories mismatch safety theories?
Gunhild Sætren
Nord University, 7500, Stjørdal, Norway
14:15
A dynamic approach to psychological strength development and enhanced esilience in the face of risky and unforeseen incidents
Ole Boe, Glenn-Egil Torgersen, Bjoern Eidsvåg
Norwegian Defence University College, 0015, OSLO, Norway
14:30
Fatigue Risk Management System: How to correlate the fatigue risk with aircraft accident risk
Cláudia Cabaço
NetJets Transportes Aéreos, 2745-550, Paço de Arcos, Portugal
13:30 - 15:00
Session: Risk and resilience in extreme and major events I
Wednesday, June 21st - Room #1
Chair: Priya Donti
13:30
Hi Vis and Low Vis: How environmental change decision making is shaped by different dimensions of risk
Tara Quinn, Katrina Brown
University of Exeter, EN5 4AR, London, United Kingdom
13:45
Experts and decision makers’ risk assemblage in the face of uncertainty: The case of invasive tree pests and diseases
Julie Urquhart 1, Clive Petter 1, Julie Barnett 2, John Fellenor 2, John Mumford 1, Chris Quine 3
1 Imperial College London, SW7 1NA, London, United Kingdom, 2 University of Bath, BA2 7AY, Bath, United Kingdom, 3 Forest Research, EH25 9SY, Roslin, United Kingdom
14:00
Using discrete choice methods to assess the relationship between air quality and support for clean energy in China
Ines Azevedo 1, Brian Sergi 1, Alex Davis 1, Jianhua Xu 2, Tian Xia 2
1 Department of Engineering & Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, 15213, Pittsburgh, United States, 2 Department of Environmental Management, Peking University, 100000, Beijing, China
14:15
Bouncing forward after the rain - Findings from a theoretical framework to enhance transformational resilience within a post-flooding context.
Kate Crinion 1, Martin Haran 1, Stanley McGreal 1, David Mcilhatton 2
1 Ulster University, BT37 0QB, Newtownabbey, United Kingdom, 2 Coventry University, CV1 2TL, Coventry, United Kingdom
13:30 - 15:00
Session: New methods, new tools, new data in risk and resilience research III
Wednesday, June 21st - Room #2
Chair: José Rui Figueira
13:30
Risk Assessment of Semi-Autonomous vehicles Using Driver Behaviour Risk Analysis: A Paradigm Shift in Motor Insurance
Cian Ryan
University of Limerick, 0000, Limerick, Ireland, Vision Inspired Driver Assistance Systems (VI-DAS) - A Horizon 2020 Research Project, 0000, Limerick, Ireland
13:45
Bayesian networks for comprehensive scenario analysis of nuclear waste repositories
Edoardo Tosoni 1, 2, Ahti Salo 1, Enrico Zio 2
1 Aalto University, 00200, Espoo, Finland, 2 Politecnico di Milano, 20100, Milan, Italy
14:00
Towards Automating People and Company Risk Extraction for Extended Due Diligence Support
Jochen L. Leidner, Timothy Nugent
Thomson Reuters, Research & Development, The Reuters Building, 30 South Colonnade,, E14 5EP, London, United Kingdom
14:15
A multiple criteria decision aiding method for classification of risks
Ana Sara Costa 1, 2, José Rui Figueira 1, José Borbinha 2
1 CEG-IST, Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Av. Rovisco Pais 1, 1049-001, Lisboa, Portugal, 2 INESC-ID, Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Rua Alves Redol 9, 1000-029, Lisboa, Portugal
14:30
ELECTRE TRI-nB: A new multiple criteria ordinal classification method
José Rui Figueira 1, Eduardo Fernandez 2, Jorge Navarro 2, Bernard Roy 3
1 CEG-IST, Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, 1049-001, Lisboa, Portugal, 2 Universidad Autónoma de Sinaloa, Mexico, 80013, Sinaloa, Mexico, 3 LAMSADE, Université Paris-Dauphine, 75775, Paris, France
13:30 - 15:00
Session: Risk and resilience in extreme and major events II
Wednesday, June 21st - Foyer
Chair: Seda Kundak
13:30
Humanitarian Logistics and Transport Networks : An Evaluation of Hierarchy, Network Properties and Logistics Tasks
Seda Kundak, Mete Basar Baypinar, Eda Beyazit, Huseyin Murat Celik, Yucel Torun, Stella Maria Gkika, Yasin Sezer Turk
Istanbul Technical University, 34437, Istanbul, Turkey
13:45
Ready for battle: Risk-willingness and character strengths in the face of the unforeseen
Ole Boe, Glenn-Egil Torgersen, Bjoern Eidsvaag, Jan Marius Nilsen
Norwegian Defence University College Norwegian Defence Staff and Command College, 0015, OSLO, Norway
14:00
Coping and Caring in the Context of Forest Fire: A Gendered Perspective
Jennifer Hobbins, Ann Enander
Swedish Defense University, 65230, Karlstad, Sweden
14:15
Preparing for the Big One: disaster risk reduction for persons with morbid obesity
Lesley Gray
University of Otago, Wellington, 6242, Wellington, New Zealand, Joint Centre for Disaster Research (Massey University and GNS Science), 6140, Wellington, New Zealand
14:30
Understanding volcanic risk perception of civil protection agents as a step towards resilience. A study in the Azores.
Isabel Rego 1, 2, Sofia Pereira 1, 2, Mariana Pacheco 1, 2, Armando Mendes 1
1 University of the Azores, 9501-801, Ponta Delgada, Portugal, 2 IVAR - Instituto deVolcanologia e Avaliação de Riscos, 9501-801, Ponta Delgada, Portugal
15:00 - 15:30
Coffee break
15:30 - 17:00
Session: Symposium - Risk and development: a Latin America perspective (Language: Portuguese & English)
Wednesday, June 21st - Auditorium #3
Chair: Sandra Cortes
15:30
Risk and development: a Latin America perspective
Sandra Cortes
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Facultad de Medicina. Departamento de Salud Pública, 8330073, Santiago, Chile
15:35
Concentration-response functions in air pollution and their impact on regulation in Chile, a rapid economic growth country
Sandra Cortes 1, 2, Antonia Fortt 3, Alejandra Pizarro 1, Bianca Arancibia 3
1 Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Facultad de Medicina. Departamento de Salud Pública, 8330073, Santiago, Chile, 2 Advanced Center for Chronic Diseases. ACCDiS., 8330073, Santiago, Chile, 3 Green River, 7550402, Santiago, Chile
15:50
São Paulo a Brazilian illustration of a risk society.
Cintia Okamura
CETESB - Environmental Agency of the State of São Paulo, 04363-040, Sao Paulo, Brazil
16:05
Enterprise risk and resilience analysis for innovative container-port information systems
Vidal Melo 1, Jessica Lin 2, Alexandra Z. Marinangelo 1, Thomas L. Polmateer 2, Eduardo Mario Dias 1, James H. Lambert 2
1 University of Sao Paulo, 05508-900, Sao Paulo, Brazil, 2 University of Virginia, 22903, Charlottesville, United States
16:20
Identifying heuristics to investigate risk perception of a rural community
Joelma Santos Araújo 1, ZENITH DELABRIDA 1, Carolina Seixas Rocha 1, Katiane Santos Costa 1, Flávia de Ávila 2
1 Federal University of Sergipe Departament of Psychology, 49100-000, São Cristóvão, Brazil, 2 Federal University of Sergipe Departament of International Affairs, 49100-000, São Cristóvão, Brazil
16:35
Working on the street: the risks faced by sex workers
Tatiane Alves Rodrigues Rocha, Tainara Ferreira Inocêncio, Sâmara Batista Militão, Luiz Augusto Santos Costa, ZENITH DELABRIDA
FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF SERGIPE, 49035-810, Aracaju, Brazil
15:30 - 17:00
Session: Resilience, decision-making and uncertainty II
Wednesday, June 21st - Room #1
Chair: Isabel Santos
15:30
Time Bandits and Risk Managers: The Epistemic Calamity of Neglecting Temporal Goals
Zachary A. Collier, James H. Lambert
University of Virginia, 22904, Charlottesville, United States
15:45
“Branch and Bound” approach to risk management, pointing towards a balanced compromise between risk perception and real-time scenarios
Kari Dakakni
ISU, 50011, Ames, United States
16:00
Risk Communication and Governance: Learning from Major Disasters
Isabel Santos 1, Lia Vasconcelos 1, Iva Pires 2
1 MARE NOVA – FCT/UNL- Department of Science and Environmental Engineering. Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia - Nova University. Portugal Quinta da Torre, Campus Universitário, 2829-516, Caparica, Portugal, 2 CICS.NOVA – FCSH/UNL – Department of Sociology. Faculdade de Ciências Sociais e Humanas - Nova University. Portugal Av. de Berna, 26C, 1069-06, Lisboa, Portugal
16:15
A Maturity Model for Risk Management
Diogo Proença 1, 2, João Estevens 2, Ricardo Vieira 1, 2, José Borbinha 1, 2
1 INESC-ID, 1000-029, Lisbon, Portugal, 2 Instituto Superior Técnico, 1049-001, Lisbon, Portugal
16:30
Uncertainties, decision criteria and resilience to damage and failure of a heat exchanger
Pertti Auerkari 1, Satu Tuurna 1, Antti Tuhti 1, Rami Pohja 1, Ulla McNiven 2, Leila Laaksonen 2
1 VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, FI-02044, Espoo, Finland, 2 Fortum Power and Heat Oy, 02150, Espoo, Finland
15:30 - 17:00
Session: New methods, new tools, new data in risk and resilience research IV
Wednesday, June 21st - Room #2
Chair: Christoph Boehmert
15:30
Concerns in everyday life or abstract concerns? The utility of frequency measures of risk perception.
Christoph Boehmert 1, Frederik Freudenstein 2, 3, 4, 5, Rodney Croft 2, 3, 4, Peter Wiedemann 2
1 Department of Science Communication, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, 76131, Karlsruhe, Germany, 2 School of Psychology, University of Wollongong, NSW 2522, Wollongong, Australia, 3 Australian Centre for Electromagnetic Bioeffects Research, NH&MRC Centre of Research Excellence, NSW 2522, Wollongong, Australia, 4 Illawarra Health and Medical Research Institute, NSW 2522, Wollongong, Australia, 5 Centre for Population Population Health Research on Electromagnetic Energy, Monash University, VIC 3800, Melbourne, Australia
15:45
Spatio-temporal population modelling as an improved exposure component for an integrated risk assessment – the case of South Tyrol
Kathrin Renner, Stefan Schneiderbauer, Christian Kofler, Fabio Pruß
eurac research, 39100, Bolzano, Italy
16:00
Relative Risk Assessment of meals redistribution for human consumption - Case study
Adriana Carmo, Telmo Nunes
Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Lisbon, 1300-477, Lisbon, Portugal
16:15
Governing new type of hazardous waste: looking for the place for post-fracking fluids in Poland
Agata Stasik 1, Aleksandra Lis 2
1 Ko?mi?ski University, 03-301, Warszawa, Poland, 2 Adam Mickiewicz University, 61-614, Pozna?, Poland
15:30 - 17:00
Session: Multi-actor approaches in risk analysis, management and governance II
Wednesday, June 21st - Foyer
Chair: David Ball
15:30
Enhancing the resilience of children and young persons in a risky world
David Ball, John Watt, Victoria de Rijke
Middlesex University, NW4 4BT, London, United Kingdom
15:45
Enabling domain-specific silos in integrated Enterprise Risk Management
Ricardo Vieira 1, 2, Diogo Proença 1, 2, José Borbinha 1, 2
1 INESC-ID, 1000-029, Lisboa, Portugal, 2 Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, 1049-001, Lisboa, Portugal
16:00
Discourses of Humanitarian Logistics
Seda Kundak, Eda Beyazit, Mete Basar Baypinar, Huseyin Murat Celik, Yucel Torun, Stella Maria Gkika, Yasin Sezer Turk
Istanbul Technical University, 34437, Istanbul, Turkey
16:30
Increasing preparedness at individual and community level
Jose Kerstholt 1, 2, Hanneke Duijnhoven 1
1 TNO, 3769 ZG, Soesterberg, Netherlands, 2 University of Twente, 7500 AE, Enschede, Netherlands